Noticed that the season was winding down, so here’s your playoff picture for Morningstar Sanctuary. (DON’T TRUST ME JUST IN CASE I’M WRONG)
@mysticjuicer - You have taken first place.
@Fluffiness - You have earned top 3. If you win or scymrian loses, you earn second place. If you lose and scymrian wins, you earn third place.
@scymrian - You have earned top 5. If you win and Fluffiness loses, you earn second place. If you and Fluffiness both win, you earn third place. If you lose, you will qualify for the play-in game.
@CKR - You have earned top 5. If you win and Southpawhare loses, or if you win 3-0 and Southpawhare wins 3-2, you earn third place. Otherwise, you will qualify for the play-in game.
@Southpawhare - You are not guaranteed for top 5. If both you and CKR win, if the scores aren’t exactly 3-2 and 3-0, respectively, you earn third place. If you lose and CKR and Phrawger both win, you will not qualify for the play-in game. In all other scenarios, you will qualify for the play-in game.
@Phrawger - You are not guaranteed for top 5. You only qualify for the play-in game if Southpawhare loses, and both you and CKR win.
[details=Math]mysticjuicer has convincingly earned first place in the division.
Fluffiness has already lost to scymrian. Thus, he earns third place if he loses and scymrian wins, otherwise, he earns second place.
scymrian has no significant losses to his name. If both he and Southpawhare lose, then CKR slides up to third place, scymrian takes fourth, and Southpawhare takes fifth. However, if scymrian loses and Southpawhare wins, then there will be a three-way tie for third with equivalent head-to-head. In this case:
- scymrian’s game record is currently 21-17. If he loses, his WPCT would be 0.513, 0.523, or 0.534.
- CKR’s game record is currently 21-18. If he wins, his WPCT would be 0.571, 0.558, or 0.545.
- Southpawhare’s game record is currently 20-16. If he wins, his WPCT would be 0.590, 0.575, or 0.561.
If CKR wins by a score of 3-0 and Southpawhare wins by a score of 3-2, then CKR takes third, Southpawhare fourth, and scymrian fifth. Otherwise, if CKR and Southpawhare both win by other scores, Southpawhare takes third, CKR fourth, and scymrian fifth.
FaceOnMars, pengwndude, variable, and mydrothers have been mathematically eliminated. Furthermore, since Jadiel has losses to Southpawhare, CKR, and Phrawger, he has also been mathematically eliminated.
Assuming a top three of mysticjuicer, Fluffiness, and scymrian:
If Southpawhare wins, he takes fourth. Furthermore, since CKR already owns victories over Phrawger and Jadiel, CKR automatically takes fifth.
If Southpawhare loses and CKR wins, CKR takes fourth. Furthermore, if Phrawger wins, then he takes fifth, since he owns victories over both Southpawhare and Jadiel.
If Southpawhare and CKR both lose, and Phrawger wins, there will be a three-way tie for fourth with equivalent head-to-head. In this case:
- CKR’s game record is currently 21-18. If he loses, his WPCT would be 0.500, 0.512, or 0.523.
- Southpawhare’s game record is currently 20-16. If he loses, his WPCT would be 0.513, 0.525, or 0.537.
- Phrawger’s game record is currently 14-20. If he wins, his WPCT would be 0.459, 0.447, or 0.436.
If CKR loses by a score of 2-3 and Southpawhare loses by a score of 0-3, CKR takes fourth and Southpawhare takes fifth. Otherwise, Southpawhare takes fourth and CKR takes fifth. Phrawger cannot make the playoffs if both Southpawhare and CKR lose.[/details]